U. Católica vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 2
HUA
47%
24%
29%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2002 |
OLI
1 - 1
UCO
41%
25%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
DEP
3 - 3
UCO
13%
22%
65%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
UCO
2 - 1
USF
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2002 |
CSD
3 - 1
UCO
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ONC
2 - 1
MIL
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
HUI
2 - 0
ONC
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2002 |
ONC
1 - 0
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
ONC
2 - 1
COR
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
JUN
3 - 1
ONC
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |