Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 6-2
U. Católica vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
ANT
2 - 3
UCO
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
0 - 4
HUA
53%
24%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
OHI
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 0
RIV
40%
24%
36%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 0
COL
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CCP
1 - 0
OLI
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
BLO
1 - 0
OLI
48%
24%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
SAN
2 - 0
OLI
40%
26%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
OLI
4 - 2
BLO
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
OLI
4 - 0
PET
65%
22%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |