Copa Libertadores Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
U. Católica vs Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1990 |
STR
1 - 1
UCO
47%
23%
29%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1990 |
UCO
3 - 1
STR
62%
20%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 2
UNI
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1990 |
UCO
2 - 0
SPC
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1990 |
VAS
1 - 0
OLI
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1990 |
GRE
2 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1990 |
CCP
3 - 2
OLI
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1990 |
OLI
2 - 1
VAS
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |