U. Católica vs O'Higgins analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
NUB
0 - 0
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
DLS
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
O'Higgins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
OHI
0 - 2
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
CSD
2 - 0
OHI
44%
26%
30%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
OHI
0 - 1
PAL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
OHI
2 - 0
CSL
60%
22%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
UNI
6 - 1
OHI
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -2 |