U. Católica vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
4 - 0
BAR
81%
13%
6%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UCO
0 - 2
SEV
30%
25%
45%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
UNI
2 - 2
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 2
UCO
15%
21%
64%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
UCH
2 - 2
NUB
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
1 - 1
CON
65%
19%
16%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2013 |
DEP
4 - 1
NUB
37%
25%
39%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
NUB
27%
24%
48%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
NUB
4 - 2
UCH
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | +2 |