U. Católica vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1967 |
BSC
0 - 2
UCO
53%
22%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
EME
0 - 1
UCO
53%
22%
25%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1967 |
CCP
1 - 0
UCO
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1967 |
NAC
4 - 1
CCP
71%
16%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
6 - 2
CCP
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
3 - 1
GUA
67%
18%
15%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1967 |
NAC
0 - 0
UCO
65%
18%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |