U. Católica vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
2 - 3
UCO
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1969 |
SPC
2 - 0
UCO
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 4
UCO
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
SWA
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
UCO
0 - 1
PAL
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
44%
22%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
3 - 1
SWA
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 4
UCO
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 1969 |
SPC
3 - 3
AUR
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |