U. Católica vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
21.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1969 |
UCO
3 - 2
SPC
65%
18%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 2
AUR
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
2 - 3
UCO
48%
22%
30%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1969 |
SPC
2 - 0
UCO
56%
20%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 4
UCO
51%
21%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1969 |
SWA
4 - 1
AUR
65%
18%
17%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 2
AUR
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 2
SPC
44%
22%
35%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
3 - 1
SWA
56%
20%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 1969 |
AUR
2 - 4
UCO
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |