Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 1-1
U. Católica vs Internacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
39.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CDM
3 - 5
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
OLI
2 - 2
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2008 |
UCO
2 - 4
ACS
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
UCO
4 - 0
OLI
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Internacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
VIT
59%
23%
17%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BOT
1 - 2
SCI
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 0
POR
62%
22%
15%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 0
SCI
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 2
SCI
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |