U. Católica vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
22.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
52%
20%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 1962 |
SAN
1 - 0
UCO
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1962 |
UCO
1 - 1
SAN
55%
21%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1962 |
EME
7 - 2
UCO
70%
16%
15%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1962 |
MIL
1 - 1
UCO
56%
21%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1966 |
OLI
3 - 3
GUA
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1965 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
PEÑ
64%
18%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1965 |
GUA
2 - 1
GAL
64%
17%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 1965 |
GAL
1 - 2
GUA
44%
21%
35%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |