U. Católica vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
UCO
4 - 1
ANT
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
ATP
2 - 2
UCO
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2017 |
UCO
2 - 3
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
SWA
3 - 0
UCO
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
5 - 1
POR
87%
11%
3%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 0
SLO
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FLU
3 - 3
FLA
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
63%
22%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 0
FLA
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |