U. Católica vs CS Emelec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
2 - 0
NAC
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1968 |
UCO
3 - 2
UCH
63%
18%
18%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
EME
1 - 2
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 1
UCO
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1967 |
COL
4 - 2
UCO
69%
16%
14%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CS Emelec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
UCH
0 - 0
EME
52%
21%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
EME
1 - 2
UCO
54%
22%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
EME
2 - 1
UCH
56%
20%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
EME
0 - 0
NAC
51%
21%
28%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1967 |
BSC
2 - 1
EME
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |