U. Católica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
2º
12º
3º
39
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 62 |
1º
|
81.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 56 |
2º
|
65.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 50 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 47 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 44 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 37 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 35 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 32 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 29 |
15º
|
36% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 27 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
1% | 0% |
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores qualifying phase
|
54.5% | 20.5% |
|
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
|
44% | 69.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
4 - 0
HUA
45%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
36%
28%
37%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
EVE
0 - 0
UCO
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAL
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
2 - 1
DCO
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
1 - 3
OHI
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CSL
2 - 1
IQU
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
COQ
1 - 2
IQU
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
IQU
1 - 1
ULC
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |