U. Católica vs Deportes Iquique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
NUB
0 - 2
UCO
21%
22%
57%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
COL
53%
23%
25%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
NTA
0 - 2
UCO
12%
19%
69%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
NTA
84%
12%
4%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 0
NUB
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Iquique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
IQU
4 - 1
MEJ
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
IQU
1 - 1
SAN
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
SAN
0 - 0
IQU
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
MEJ
0 - 1
IQU
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
COB
0 - 2
IQU
56%
23%
20%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |