U. Católica vs Defensor Lima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.3
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1969 |
CCP
0 - 0
UCO
62%
20%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1969 |
MIR
3 - 2
UCO
49%
23%
27%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Defensor Lima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
DEF
2 - 0
SPC
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | 0 |