U. Católica vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
40.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
1 - 3
OHI
72%
17%
10%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
UCO
72%
17%
11%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
EVE
2 - 2
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
UCO
3 - 0
PAL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2000 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2000 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VIT
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2000 |
BAH
1 - 3
CRZ
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 1
CRZ
39%
26%
35%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
CRZ
2 - 2
SAO
60%
21%
20%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
SPO
1 - 1
CRZ
32%
27%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |