U. Católica vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 1
UCO
77%
14%
9%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
2 - 1
RIV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCH
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
COR
3 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
ABC
0 - 4
COR
24%
25%
52%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1995 |
COR
3 - 1
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1995 |
BAH
2 - 1
COR
29%
29%
42%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1995 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
36%
29%
36%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |