U. Católica vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COB
4 - 3
UCO
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
3 - 1
UCO
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 0
ACS
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
42%
23%
35%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 0
UCO
11%
19%
71%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
PAL
59%
21%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
COL
3 - 0
HUA
48%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAL
0 - 3
COL
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
USF
0 - 4
COL
27%
23%
50%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |