U. Católica vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
1 - 3
AME
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
1 - 3
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSL
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
CAL
3 - 1
UCO
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1987 |
COL
2 - 2
SAO
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1987 |
COL
2 - 0
GUA
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1987 |
COL
0 - 0
COB
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1987 |
SAO
1 - 2
COL
88%
8%
4%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1987 |
GUA
0 - 0
COL
87%
9%
4%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |