U. Católica vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
4 - 2
UNI
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 1
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
ACS
2 - 1
UCO
35%
26%
39%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
UCO
0 - 0
CSL
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2003 |
SPC
1 - 1
CCP
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
LQE
0 - 1
CCP
36%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2003 |
PAY
0 - 0
CCP
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CCP
1 - 1
OLI
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
AME
2 - 0
CCP
37%
26%
37%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |