U. Católica vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
27.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
4 - 0
OHI
78%
15%
8%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
SWA
1 - 3
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 0
ACS
66%
20%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2001 |
UCO
2 - 1
VAS
29%
25%
47%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
GUA
0 - 1
CCP
46%
25%
30%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 1
VAS
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2001 |
CCP
1 - 0
CAC
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2001 |
SPO
0 - 1
CCP
26%
26%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2001 |
CCP
2 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |