U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
TAL
1 - 0
UCO
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
UCO
2 - 1
UCH
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
OHI
2 - 1
UCO
22%
25%
53%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
UCO
0 - 1
EVE
66%
21%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
28%
25%
48%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 3
EVE
37%
29%
34%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
HUA
2 - 3
DLS
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
DLS
2 - 3
CSL
31%
28%
42%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
NUB
3 - 1
DLS
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DLS
1 - 1
COQ
41%
27%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |