U. Católica vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2009 |
UCO
2 - 0
IQU
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 0
UCO
46%
24%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
UCO
0 - 0
UNI
56%
22%
21%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 4
UCO
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
COL
2 - 1
DLS
65%
20%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
DLS
2 - 0
CSD
52%
23%
24%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
IQU
2 - 0
DLS
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
DLS
1 - 2
OHI
47%
25%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
UCH
3 - 2
DLS
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |