U. Católica vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 1
UCO
38%
27%
36%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
UCO
1 - 2
UNI
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
EVE
0 - 2
UCO
26%
27%
47%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2008 |
UCO
8 - 2
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCO
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2008 |
CDP
2 - 1
CSD
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
NUB
2 - 0
CDP
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
HUA
0 - 2
CDP
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
CDP
0 - 3
COL
28%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
IQU
0 - 4
CDP
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |