Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 2-2
U. Católica vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
HUA
1 - 3
UCO
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 0
DEP
73%
16%
10%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
SWA
0 - 2
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
UCO
3 - 1
COB
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2003 |
CDP
1 - 1
OHI
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
EVE
3 - 2
CDP
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
CDP
1 - 0
ANT
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2003 |
CDP
2 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2003 |
MAG
0 - 1
CDP
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |