U. Católica vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1974 |
UCO
0 - 0
SPC
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1974 |
UCO
1 - 0
DEF
85%
10%
6%
|
74 | 30 | 44 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1969 |
EST
3 - 1
UCO
66%
19%
15%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1969 |
UCO
1 - 3
EST
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
NAC
3 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
0 - 0
DEF
84%
10%
6%
|
72 | 30 | 42 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1974 |
NAC
2 - 0
UCO
50%
22%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
COL
5 - 1
NAC
70%
16%
14%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1973 |
UNI
2 - 1
NAC
51%
22%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |