Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-4
U. Católica vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
4 - 1
UCH
69%
18%
13%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1995 |
UCO
1 - 1
NAC
55%
25%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1995 |
UCO
4 - 1
MIL
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1995 |
UCO
2 - 0
UCH
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 1995 |
NAC
3 - 1
UCO
53%
23%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
RAC
1 - 3
RIV
28%
29%
43%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
1 - 1
PEÑ
69%
19%
12%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
BEL
1 - 0
RIV
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
5 - 0
CER
88%
8%
4%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
RIV
3 - 2
SLO
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |