U. Católica vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
33.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
UCO
0 - 0
UCH
65%
19%
16%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
COR
3 - 1
UCO
77%
14%
9%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
BOT
4 - 1
UCO
69%
17%
13%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1996 |
UCO
2 - 3
COR
45%
24%
31%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
UCH
2 - 0
UCO
44%
24%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1996 |
BOT
1 - 1
COR
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1996 |
BOT
3 - 0
COR
95%
5%
1%
|
81 | 23 | 58 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1996 |
BOT
4 - 1
UCO
69%
17%
13%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1996 |
COR
3 - 0
BOT
56%
24%
20%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1996 |
COR
1 - 0
BOT
3%
15%
82%
|
81 | 22 | 59 | 0 |