U. Católica vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SWA
2 - 1
UCO
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PAL
1 - 2
UCO
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2011 |
UCH
1 - 2
UCO
60%
21%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
UCO
1 - 2
UCH
51%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 1
UCO
49%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
BOL
5 - 0
BLO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
AUR
2 - 2
BOL
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
STR
4 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
STR
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
BOL
25%
27%
49%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |