U. Católica vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
21.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1993 |
UCO
4 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
UCO
1 - 1
COB
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
2 - 5
UCO
47%
24%
30%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
BOL
58%
24%
18%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1993 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOL
38%
24%
39%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 0
COB
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
UCO
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |