U. Católica vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
HUA
3 - 5
UCO
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 4
CSL
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
SAN
3 - 3
UCO
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
OHI
1 - 1
UCO
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 2
PAL
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 1
COB
28%
28%
44%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
OHI
3 - 1
BAR
65%
21%
13%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 3
NUB
26%
26%
48%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
IQU
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
COL
4 - 1
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |