U. Católica vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
1 - 0
UCO
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 3
HUA
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CSL
0 - 1
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 0
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
2 - 2
OHI
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
HUA
1 - 2
ACS
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
CUR
0 - 0
ACS
12%
19%
70%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ACS
2 - 1
IQU
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ACS
2 - 3
UCH
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
COB
0 - 1
ACS
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |