Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 3-3
U. Católica vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
31.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 0
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 0
OHI
53%
23%
23%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
HUA
1 - 1
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
3 - 0
BVS
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 0
ULC
65%
21%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
5 - 0
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
USF
2 - 2
ACS
33%
25%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 1
DLS
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CSL
3 - 2
ACS
30%
25%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ACS
0 - 0
UCO
50%
24%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |