U. Católica vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
IQU
0 - 2
UCO
27%
26%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2011 |
NOB
0 - 2
UCO
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
UCO
2 - 3
ALI
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UCO
5 - 0
EVE
68%
19%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COB
2 - 3
UCO
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 3
PAL
65%
21%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 2
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
EVE
1 - 2
ACS
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ACS
1 - 0
SAN
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PAL
2 - 5
ACS
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |