Clausura Finals Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
U. Católica vs Audax Italiano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
4 - 1
DLS
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UCH
0 - 0
UCO
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2011 |
MAG
0 - 1
UCO
17%
21%
62%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2011 |
UCO
0 - 1
MAG
80%
13%
7%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
50%
24%
26%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Audax Italiano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 1
UCH
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
5 - 2
ACS
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ACS
2 - 0
NUB
66%
20%
15%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SWA
2 - 0
ACS
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
ACS
3 - 0
IQU
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |