U. Católica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 3
UCO
25%
25%
50%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 1
UCO
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
3 - 2
SWA
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CSL
1 - 3
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
UCO
2 - 1
UNI
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
2 - 1
NUB
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 1
ANT
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 2
UNI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
HUA
0 - 1
ANT
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ANT
1 - 0
CDM
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |