U. Católica vs Antofagasta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
CSD
0 - 3
UCO
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAL
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
UCO
7 - 1
COQ
79%
15%
7%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
OHI
0 - 1
UCO
47%
25%
29%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
COQ
2 - 4
UCO
24%
23%
53%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Antofagasta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ANT
0 - 0
COB
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NUB
0 - 2
ANT
42%
26%
33%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
ULC
2 - 1
ANT
54%
26%
20%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2012 |
CSD
2 - 2
ANT
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
ANT
1 - 2
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |