U. Católica vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
1 - 3
CAL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
UCO
0 - 1
CSL
66%
19%
16%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1986 |
CAL
3 - 1
UCO
60%
21%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1986 |
CSL
1 - 1
UCO
46%
23%
32%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 1986 |
CSL
2 - 2
AME
40%
24%
36%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1986 |
CAL
0 - 1
AME
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1986 |
AME
2 - 1
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
CSL
74%
15%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1986 |
AME
0 - 0
CAL
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |