Unity FC vs Toronto Falcons analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+124%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
5º
4º
25
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 35 |
1º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 34 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 13 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 10 |
5º
|
85.5% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 7 |
6º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
98.5% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unity FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 3
LON
5%
9%
87%
|
12 | 45 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 1
SCA
13%
18%
69%
|
11 | 66 | 55 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SFS
0 - 3
UFC
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 56 | 46 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
LON
1 - 3
UFC
94%
4%
2%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | +2 |
Matches
Toronto Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 0
SFS
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 8 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
LON
2 - 1
TOR
39%
23%
38%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
7 - 1
LON
51%
22%
27%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 0
UFC
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 10 | 46 | 0 |