United Zürich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
70.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WIN
1 - 2
LUG
27%
25%
49%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
STA
3 - 2
LUG
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
DEL
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2011 |
STG
1 - 0
LUG
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2011 |
LUG
3 - 1
FCA
62%
22%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |