United of Manchester vs Harrogate Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
28.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
WOR
0 - 0
UNM
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
FYL
3 - 1
UNM
74%
16%
11%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
UNM
1 - 1
ALT
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
ALT
0 - 3
UNM
29%
24%
47%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UNM
1 - 1
BOS
56%
21%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Harrogate Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TOW
1 - 0
BRA
79%
14%
7%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
TOW
6 - 3
ALF
48%
23%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 2017 |
STO
1 - 1
TOW
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2016 |
TOW
0 - 1
STO
51%
24%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
CUR
1 - 0
TOW
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |