United of Manchester vs Guiseley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
30.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
1 - 1
LAN
69%
18%
14%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
UNM
2 - 1
RFC
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
CUR
1 - 2
UNM
38%
24%
38%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
HYD
2 - 2
UNM
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
UNM
0 - 0
SCA
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Guiseley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
0 - 1
HER
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
2 - 0
MAT
68%
19%
14%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 0
BLY
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 0
ATH
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
CHE
0 - 1
GUI
54%
22%
24%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |