FA Cup 1/64
Global 1-5
United of Manchester vs Brighton & Hove Albion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
55.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BHA
1 - 1
UNM
76%
15%
8%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
UNM
1 - 2
HIN
42%
23%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
COL
3 - 1
UNM
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
NOR
1 - 0
UNM
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2010 |
ROC
2 - 3
UNM
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +2 |
Matches
Brighton & Hove Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
BHA
1 - 1
UNM
76%
15%
8%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 0
BHA
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
BHA
2 - 2
BRO
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2010 |
WOK
2 - 2
BHA
20%
26%
54%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
HAR
3 - 1
BHA
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |