United of Manchester vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 1
BRA
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
KID
1 - 2
UNM
80%
13%
7%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
DAR
35%
22%
43%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
UNM
1 - 2
WIT
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NUN
1 - 0
UNM
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 2
ALF
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ALF
4 - 0
STN
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ALT
3 - 1
ALF
63%
20%
18%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MIC
1 - 2
ALF
33%
23%
44%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ALF
0 - 1
BRA
39%
25%
36%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |