United of Manchester vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
37.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2016 |
TOW
2 - 0
UNM
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
UNM
3 - 3
TOW
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
UNM
0 - 0
CUR
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
UNM
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
OSS
1 - 7
UNM
18%
21%
61%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
KIN
0 - 2
ALF
32%
25%
44%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 3
KID
36%
25%
39%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
FYL
23%
23%
54%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
BOS
3 - 2
ALF
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TOW
33%
25%
41%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | +2 |