United of Manchester vs Alfreton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
33.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
AFC
5 - 1
UNM
29%
25%
46%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
UNM
4 - 3
TOW
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
UNM
6 - 1
LOW
51%
23%
25%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
4 - 0
UNM
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
TAM
1 - 1
UNM
41%
26%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alfreton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2016 |
CUR
0 - 2
ALF
52%
24%
25%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
NUN
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
CHO
40%
24%
37%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
BRA
1 - 4
ALF
35%
26%
39%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 0
TAM
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |