Unired vs Xorazm analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
84.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.8%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
8º
22
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unired
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
FKA
1 - 0
URF
60%
22%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
URF
3 - 2
SHA
4%
11%
85%
|
14 | 65 | 51 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 4
URF
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Xorazm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2022 |
XOR
2 - 2
BUX
30%
27%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
AND
3 - 1
XOR
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
XOR
1 - 2
MAS
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FKT
2 - 0
XOR
43%
27%
31%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
BUX
1 - 0
XOR
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |