Unired vs Mash' al analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
67.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
8º
8º
31
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unired
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 0
URF
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
URF
6 - 1
GIJ
8%
13%
79%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | +5 |
| 17 Aug. 2023 |
QOQ
2 - 1
URF
87%
10%
4%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2023 |
URF
1 - 1
DSA
9%
18%
73%
|
18 | 60 | 42 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
XOR
1 - 1
URF
85%
11%
4%
|
18 | 53 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Mash' al
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
GIJ
0 - 0
MAS
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
DSA
2 - 0
MAS
60%
23%
17%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
0 - 1
QOQ
28%
27%
45%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
XOR
0 - 1
MAS
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |