Unión Villa Krause vs Concepción FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Villa Krause
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SPA
2 - 3
UNI
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
5 - 0
TEX
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AHZ
1 - 0
UNI
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 0
SAR
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
UNI
46%
26%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
CON
3 - 0
SAR
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
CON
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CON
1 - 1
GIM
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SLO
1 - 0
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
SJO
53%
23%
23%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |