Union Tornesch vs TSV Sasel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.3%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
77.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.6%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
56
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 3
RUG
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
5 - 3
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
PAL
4 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
UTO
3 - 4
DNB
52%
19%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Sasel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 4
WAN
86%
10%
4%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
1 - 2
SAS
13%
17%
70%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
SAS
2 - 1
PAL
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
DNB
1 - 2
SAS
9%
14%
78%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SAS
3 - 3
SUD
78%
14%
9%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |